21 November 2018 Bob Cunneen, Senior Economist and Portfolio Specialist Bitcoin vs Tulip prices Sources: Reuters, Datastream. McClure.J.E and Thomas D.E (2017), Financial History Review Chart update: In January 2018 we plotted Bitcoin’s price rise (black line) and posed the question “Is Bitcoin the new tulip mania?” Over the past year, Bitcoin has…
Chart of the week: Australian wages take a turn for the better
15 November 2018 Bob Cunneen, Senior Economist and Portfolio Specialist Australian spare capacity vs Wages *Spare Capacity measure – Unemployment rate less 5% full employment NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment) inverted Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics. Australia’s nominal wages growth has been struggling over recent years (blue line). This slow and low wages…
ThreeSixty Research Market Update – November 2018
Highlights: US economic growth moderated in the September quarter but is underpinned by strong consumer spending growth. The IMF recently downgraded its forecast for global economic growth, partly reflecting the US-China trade war. In Australia, business conditions remain relatively robust while labour market conditions continue to show signs of underlying strength. Chinese GDP grew by…
Monetary Policy Decision – Statement by Philip Lowe, RBA Governor, November 2018
At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent. The global economic expansion is continuing. A number of advanced economies are growing at an above-trend rate and unemployment rates are low. Growth in China has slowed a little, with the authorities easing policy while continuing to pay close attention…
Chart of the week: Wall Street confronts the challenges of the Fed and rising wages
6 November 2018 Bob Cunneen, Senior Economist and Portfolio Specialist US interest rates vs wages Source: Federal Reserve St Louis. American workers are increasingly benefitting from a tighter labour market. Strong demand for labour has given…
Chart of the week: Wall street moves from 'perfection' to 'correction'
1 November 2018 Bob Cunneen, Senior Economist and Portfolio Specialist Forward Price to Earnings Ratio 1 year Source: FactSet and Institutional Brokers’ Estimate System (IBES) Wall Street’s golden run in terms of a rising share market seems to have come to an end in recent weeks….